February 4, 2018

The UK is in a state of controlled chaos but what does the future hold as a result of withdrawal from the EU? There is much rhetoric and more news on the subject than anyone has time to read; none of which is answering the questions that could allow the public to make an informed decision on the negotiations or the eventual agreement.

Brexit – The Second Referendum Questions?
  • Do you want to remain part of something uncertain?
  • Do you want to leave uncertainty for something equally less certain?

Was the ‘Brexit’ Referendum a vote for sovereignty?

The UK electorate were asked to vote as to whether they wish to: “Remain a member of the European Union” or “Leave the European Union”. Although the questions were definitive in many ways, they failed to clearly set out the definition of either outcome.

It is however clear that the vote to ‘Leave the European Union’ should result in the UK no longer holding any membership benefits, accountability or responsibility to the European Union.

As the objective of the European Union is to operate an ‘internal single market through a standardised system of laws that apply in all member states’ this would first assume that the UK should withdraw from the jurisdiction of EU laws and become completely self-governing again. Secondly, the EU’s policies ‘aim to ensure the free movement of people, goods, services, and capital within the internal market’ and again (for better or worse) this would suggest the ‘Leave’ vote was one of withdrawing from these specific policies.

In effect, irrespective of the financial implications the result of the EU referendum was a vote for self-governance without control from the EU or its members.

What about the laws?

It is proposed that on exiting the EU, all existing laws will transfer into UK law. As the UK currently operate under these laws that seems unavoidable although, as a self-governing country it would in future be possible to challenge the appropriateness of laws to the UK where these laws apply specifically to EU membership.

However, it is significant to consider how closely any future UK government would choose to align with new EU laws. If a current or future UK government would simply continue to duplicate EU laws into UK Statutory Law then has any benefit been obtained by revoking EU membership?

What about the free movement?

Free movement of people was a significant issue influencing the referendum vote. It may be possible to consider it in terms of those who benefit from short or long term immigration (including anyone who has moved to the UK and was eligible to vote), and those who gain no benefit.

There are probably equal arguments in favour or against open borders but what are the true figures of EU migration? How many EU migrants come to the UK just to work?

UK migration is not limited to EU nationals so what is the true impact when refugees and non-EU nationals are considered?

What about the goods and services?

Ultimately, the main issues around Brexit are about finances and this is even more vague than the previous questions.

Why can’t anyone really explain the impact of Brexit on import/export and financial services? Probably because no-one actually knows!

Even if impact analysis for the various Brexit options do exist, the EU could change tariffs (or any other aspect) of trade agreements now or in the future so what is the UK basing it’s future predictions on?

As for financial services, private organisations will operate in the country or countries that best suit their own abilities to make a profit. What can (or will) the UK offer these organisations to stay?

What about the cost?

What are the UK government really proposing to pay as a final settlement to the EU? Or, more importantly, what are they paying for?

The negotiations over a divorce bill held up the initial stages of the discussions – almost as if the UK were being held to ransom – and while both sides suggest they have reached an agreement, there is no substantive details available to the electorate. Does the settlement represent value for the UK and what if any are the hidden costs for the future?

What about the future?

The Brexit negotiations have to date been a game of brinkmanship, and as yet it would suggest that both sides are scared of the outcome. Why? It can only be suggested with the limited information in the public domain that neither side truly understands what they are dealing with or what the long term future looks like. The EU believe they have the stronger position possibly because they believe the UK has more to lose.

Nothing stays the same, but without a plan or objective it is impossible for any country to progress. Whether EU members are right to believe they are in control and have a greater chance of developing as a powerful organisation, they do have this as an objective. The UK and the current government would appear to be intent on delivering Brexit – the exit from the EU – without a true vision of what a sovereign UK could, or should, look like in future and what happens the day after Brexit.

Sadly, power and control have been the motivation of countries and organisations for much longer than any reader has been alive but it has failed to deliver stability, equality or peace so, maybe, just maybe, one country should be strong enough and brave enough to ‘leap into the dark’ if it is unable to answer the obvious questions?

Last updated: February 5, 2018 at 9:49 am